Exclusive Poll: Americans Support Toppling Iran’s Regime but Oppose Risking American Lives

Washington, DC — January 27, 2026 — A new poll conducted by J.L. Partners reveals a complex picture of American public opinion regarding U.S. intervention in Iran. While a significant portion of Americans, especially Republicans, express support for removing the Iranian regime, they are overwhelmingly opposed to risking any American lives in the process.

The survey, obtained exclusively by Breitbart News ahead of its public release, shows that 36% of Americans support the idea of the U.S. toppling Iran’s government—split evenly between 18% strongly supporting and 18% somewhat supporting. Conversely, 21% oppose such action, with 11% strongly opposed. Notably, 24% of respondents remain indifferent or undecided.

Support among Republicans is even more pronounced, with 60% backing the move—36% strongly and 24% somewhat. Opposition within the GOP is minimal, at just 8%, with 21% unsure.

However, the survey’s follow-up questions reveal a stark caution among the electorate. When asked about acceptable U.S. casualties to achieve regime change, a majority of Americans—51%—said they would not support any American fatalities. Among Republicans, support for zero casualties remains high at 51%, with small percentages willing to accept fewer than 10 or 100 fatalities.

Further responses indicate that many Americans are only willing to endorse military action if it can be conducted without American casualties. For instance, 14% of respondents would accept fewer than 1,000 deaths, 13% fewer than 10,000, and only 11% would tolerate more than 10,000 fatalities.

This nuanced stance suggests that the apparent support—initially measured at 36% overall and 60% among Republicans—may be significantly lower when factoring in the aversion to American casualties. Analysts estimate that the real level of support for direct intervention, considering the opposition to American losses, drops to approximately 14% among the general population and roughly 21% among Republicans.

The poll surveyed 1,003 registered voters from January 21 to January 23, with a margin of error of 3.1%. These findings are likely to influence decision-making at the highest levels of government, especially as President Biden considers options for engaging with Iran amid ongoing regional tensions.

In recent months, the U.S. has conducted targeted operations against Iran’s nuclear program and supported efforts in Venezuela, such as the capture of Nicolas Maduro. The public’s cautious stance underscores a broader skepticism of costly military engagements, particularly those risking American lives, even amid a shared desire to see the Iranian regime toppled.

As the Biden administration weighs its next moves, the data highlights the challenge of balancing strategic objectives with domestic public support—especially when Americans remain wary of the human cost of military intervention.